Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 1.251088 1.539203 1.915607 2.461436 3.266771 4.475563 6.578766
2025-06-01 0.876044 1.180850 1.642518 2.453457 4.010137 7.399488 18.173430
2025-06-08 0.677646 0.960858 1.428153 2.355097 4.505707 10.988400 55.730392
2025-06-15 0.584649 0.865085 1.363484 2.470264 5.593300 19.801177 779.110111
2025-06-22 0.509333 0.776065 1.275614 2.482435 6.483588 34.397349 NaN
2025-06-29 0.446628 0.694389 1.175755 2.412400 7.070011 56.930604 NaN
2025-07-06 0.400222 0.633160 1.100492 2.369720 7.778866 107.177459 NaN
2025-07-13 0.380178 0.617178 1.116251 2.595350 10.394910 724.501302 NaN
2025-07-20 0.357449 0.591718 1.103776 2.731846 13.131385 NaN NaN
2025-07-27 0.331355 0.555388 1.056999 2.728416 15.012575 NaN NaN
2025-08-03 0.304911 0.514867 0.991805 2.627396 15.803882 NaN NaN
2025-08-10 0.288652 0.493561 0.970651 2.690961 19.152820 NaN NaN
2025-08-17 0.276359 0.479665 0.967326 2.839237 25.614860 NaN NaN
2025-08-24 0.260451 0.456111 0.933935 2.840677 30.248328 NaN NaN
2025-08-31 0.242834 0.426947 0.880188 2.720932 31.407652 NaN NaN
2025-09-07 0.234344 0.417187 0.878867 2.863680 44.150768 NaN NaN
2025-09-14 0.223383 0.400641 0.855110 2.878827 54.489671 NaN NaN
2025-09-21 0.211136 0.380023 0.816212 2.792075 58.922130 NaN NaN
2025-09-28 0.200788 0.362935 0.785416 2.739328 66.566781 NaN NaN
2025-10-05 0.198061 0.363304 0.807275 3.019240 135.558311 NaN NaN
2025-10-12 0.193086 0.357827 0.810141 3.189812 264.748154 NaN NaN
2025-10-19 0.185552 0.345514 0.789208 3.185515 386.358441 NaN NaN
2025-10-26 0.176717 0.329401 0.753835 3.059205 407.014264 NaN NaN